Re: The Federal Election Thread - 2007 (part two)

[Invader Zim]

Rove? You are farking kidding me.

Rove is the 'Hey Hey It's Saturday' of the aughties.

[JGK]

Rove? You are farking kidding me.

Rove is the 'Hey Hey It's Saturday' of the aughties.

And yet a whole stack of Gen Yers will have been watching.

[Invader Zim]

Bullshit. Gen Y's are too busy downloading porn or watching Utude to be worried about FTA

GenY are 80% for Kevin07 anyway.

[embee]

Johnny McManus is as Wozzie as ...unlike Zimmy to trash a wozzie ...must be a Freo thing

[Invader Zim]

Na, he's just crap.

[embee]

His Ben Cousins jokes are funny

[Invader Zim]

Who?

[JGK]

Coalition back to 4.10 on Centrebet.

[JGK]

BTW - here is a photo list of every HR candidate. Check out my local candidate Patricia Petersen who is sort of in the Bondage and Free Love Party.


http://psephos.adam-carr.net/countries/a/australia/candidates1.shtml

[Paul Keating]

Perhaps it's true that politics shouldn't be discussed at work.

I could almost throttle all my conservative colleagues who have not a single kind bone in their body. These people have prospered so much from the stock market boom, they don't care about anyone but their boats and sports cars.

I will walk into a cauldron on Monday when Kevin07 wins.

[Hass]

I think Howard has gone bonkers.

John Howard talking about Workdchoies on the hustings today:

"If we win on Saturday then the reforms that we have brought about will never be reversed by a future federal Labor government."

“They will become part of the furniture. They will become so embedded in our business and workplace culture that no future Labor government would be able to reverse them.”

Now this might play well in WA but surely the PM must have known this was going to get airplay in the eastern states as well.

I guess he's just shoring up the base.

[Leo]

Some interesting reports (and polling) suggesting it may be a bit closer than most thought over the last couple of days.

Labor looks set to win 4-6 seats in NT, SA and Victoria. WA could be anything from a net loss of 1 to a gain of 2. That leaves NSW and Queensland to decide the election.

Is it going to come down to Ryan, Wentworth and North Sydney?

[Leo]

Just wrote this list down for my own interest, might as well post it: the dozen (or so) most marginal Coalition seats in NSW with margins:

Parramatta (0.5), Wentworth (2.5), Lindsay (2.9), Eden-Monaro (3.3), Bennelong (4.1), Dobell (4., Page (5.5), Paterson (6.3), Cowper (6.6), Robertson (6.9), Hughes (8.5), Gilmore (9.4), North Sydney (10.0)

In QLD:

Bonner (0.5), Moreton (2., Blair (5.7), Herbert (6.2), Longman (6.7), Petrie (7.4) Flynn (7.7), Hinkler (8.3) Dickson (8.9), Bowman (8.9), Leicchardt (10.3), Ryan (10.4)

I reckon the gummint will hold Wentworth, Bennelong, Gilmore, North Sydney and Longman. They need to scrape home in 10 or more of the other 19. All academic if the 2PP remains at 54% of course - almost all of them will go.

[JGK]

Perhaps it's true that politics shouldn't be discussed at work.

I could almost throttle all my conservative colleagues who have not a single kind bone in their body. These people have prospered so much from the stock market boom, they don't care about anyone but their boats and sports cars.

I will walk into a cauldron on Monday when Kevin07 wins.

Interesting - I work with a number of self-made people some of whose wealth is in the 10s of millions. They hate Howard almost as much as I do.

[JGK]

Leo - you've left out Tassie which looks to be at least 1 or maybe 2 seats to the ALP.

I think the Wentworth margin is skewed from the Peter King fiasco in 2004. I don't think the real swing required is that close.

Crikey have been talking today about Cossies seat of Higgins which requires an 8.8% swing not being out of play. Of course, this is probably wishful thinking given that Stephen Mayne is running as an independent in Higgins.

Crikey also suggested that Leichardt was pretty safe.